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Political Expert - Elections Forecasting & Political Risk

Where US only

WeekdayFinanceStill listed. Posted on 17 Sep

Apply on Weekday, $150 to $250/hr

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$150 to $250/hr
This role All Finance

On a ruler from $0 to $150 an hour: $150+.

As listed by Weekday, in USD. Across 99 Finance roles with an hourly rate, the median is $95 and half sit between $60 and $118 (midpoint of each listed range).
Note on the rate

This is the rate Weekday lists for the role. Weekday sets the final rate, which can differ from the listed range.

Estimate a week at this rate
Where
United States
Language
English
Type
Part-time, remote
Field
Finance
  1. Posted on Weekday
  2. In the feed today
  3. Shown here untilrenewed each day Weekday still lists it

Listed on Weekday since at least 24 Oct, the first day we read Weekday; last read 26 Oct.

History of this listing

  1. First seen on the first day we read Weekday. It may have been posted earlier.

Only the days something changed in the listing. We read every platform once a day.

From the Weekday listing

This role is for one of our clients

Compensation: $150-$250 per hour

We are building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. Each task asks a practitioner to reason from a fixed evidence cutoff, no hindsight, and document the judgment a strong analyst would have made at that moment.

This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.

Requirements

What you will do

  • Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff
  • Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds
  • Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact
  • Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard

Who we are looking for

  • A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst
  • A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds, not retrospective commentary
  • Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis
  • Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance

Backgrounds we look at first: top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate or governor races, and political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU. Brand-name experience is a strong first-pass signal but is not a hard requirement, direct experience and performance on the work sample determine who qualifies.

Not a fit

Pure communications, journalism, or academic profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.

Point-in-time discipline

Every task is graded on reasoning from the stated cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.

We consider all qualified applicants without regard to legally protected characteristics and provide reasonable accommodations upon request.

Text above is the platform's own listing, shown as published.

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