Political Expert - Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Where US only
WeekdayFinanceStill listed. Posted on 17 Sep
Opens Weekday in a new tab.
On a ruler from $0 to $150 an hour: $150+.
Note on the rate
This is the rate Weekday lists for the role. Weekday sets the final rate, which can differ from the listed range.
- Where
- United States
- Language
- English
- Type
- Part-time, remote
- Field
- Finance
- Posted on Weekday
- In the feed today
- Shown here untilrenewed each day Weekday still lists it
Listed on Weekday since at least 24 Oct, the first day we read Weekday; last read 26 Oct.
History of this listing
- First seen on the first day we read Weekday. It may have been posted earlier.
Only the days something changed in the listing. We read every platform once a day.
From the Weekday listing
This role is for one of our clients
Compensation: $150-$250 per hour
We are building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. Each task asks a practitioner to reason from a fixed evidence cutoff, no hindsight, and document the judgment a strong analyst would have made at that moment.
This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.
Requirements
What you will do
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard
Who we are looking for
- A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds, not retrospective commentary
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis
- Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance
Backgrounds we look at first: top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate or governor races, and political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU. Brand-name experience is a strong first-pass signal but is not a hard requirement, direct experience and performance on the work sample determine who qualifies.
Not a fit
Pure communications, journalism, or academic profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.
Point-in-time discipline
Every task is graded on reasoning from the stated cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.
We consider all qualified applicants without regard to legally protected characteristics and provide reasonable accommodations upon request.
Text above is the platform's own listing, shown as published.
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